{"id":3488,"date":"2012-05-29T13:13:28","date_gmt":"2012-05-29T05:13:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/?p=3488"},"modified":"2012-07-14T21:39:20","modified_gmt":"2012-07-14T13:39:20","slug":"%e5%88%9b%e4%b8%9a%e5%85%ac%e5%8f%b8%e6%98%af%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e8%a2%ab%e4%b8%8d%e6%96%ad%e7%9a%84%e6%96%b0idea%e6%89%80%e6%91%a7%e6%af%81%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/?p=3488","title":{"rendered":"\u521b\u4e1a\u516c\u53f8\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u88ab\u4e0d\u65ad\u7684\u65b0idea\u6240\u6467\u6bc1\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5728Chris Dixon\u8c08\u4f55\u65f6\u653e\u5f03\u4f60\u7684idea\u4e00\u6587\u4e2d\uff0cChris Dixon\u66fe\u5f3a\u8c03\u52a1\u5fc5\u7559\u610f\u4e0d\u8981\u88ab\u5404\u79cd\u65b0\u9c9c\u597d\u73a9\u7684idea \u7ed9\u5206\u4e86\u5fc3\uff1a\u4f1a\u4f34\u968f\u6240\u6709\u65b0\u4e1c\u897f\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u901a\u5e38\u90fd\u662f\u4e9b\u201c\u65e0\u77e5\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u201d\u7684\u865a\u5047\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\u4e3a\u4f55\u6211\u4eec\u8bf4\u8fc7\u591a\u7684\u65b0idea\u5bf9\u521b\u4e1a\u516c\u53f8\u4e0d\u597d\u5462\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u6765\u770b\u770b\u00a0Yipit\u7684\u521b\u59cb\u4ebaVinicius Vacanti\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\uff1a<!--more--><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u5728\u6211\u521b\u7acbYipit\u76843\u5e74\u65c5\u7a0b\u91cc\uff0c\u603b\u8ba1\u6709\u8fc730\u591a\u4e2a\u4e0e\u6211\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u6beb\u4e0d\u76f8\u5173\u7684idea\u3002\u6bcf\u6b21\u65b0\u7684idea\u51fa\u6765\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u90fd\u4f1a\u8fdb\u5165\u4e00\u79cd\u975e\u5e38\u8352\u8c2c\u7684\u5174\u594b\u548c\u4e50\u89c2\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u5e38\u5e38\u5927\u6c57\u6dcb\u6f13\u51e0\u4e2a\u5c0f\u65f6\u3002\u542c\u8d77\u6765\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5f88\u68d2\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0d\u5c3d\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b0idea\u548c\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u9a9a\u52a8\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u5e72\u6270\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u52a0\u6e05\u6670\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u7684\u201cideas\u201d\u662f\u6307\u90a3\u4e9b\u4e0e\u4f60\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u521b\u4e1a\u9879\u76ee\u6beb\u65e0\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u3002\u5c06\u4f60\u521b\u4e1a\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u96c6\u4e2d\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u9886\u57df\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u4f60\u6240\u5b66\u5230\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\uff08\u6bd4\u5982\u53d8\u9769pivoting\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d6\u5f97\u80dc\u5229\u7684\u6218\u7565\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u6240\u8c08\u8bba\u7684\u662f\u4f60\u5df2\u7ecf\u62e5\u6709\u4e00\u4e2aidea\u5e76\u4e14\u4f60\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u521b\u4e1a\u9879\u76ee\u5c31\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e2aidea\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u62e5\u6709\u597d\u7684idea\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u68d2\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6211\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u4e2d\uff0cYipit\u4e00\u76f4\u90fd\u5c06\u7126\u70b9\u96c6\u4e2d\u4e8e\u7ec4\u7ec7\u672c\u5730\u4fe1\u606f\u4e0a\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u5176\u5b83\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e0e\u6b64\u6ca1\u591a\u5927\u5173\u7cfb\u7684idea\u4e0a\u82b1\u8d39\u4e86\u592a\u591a\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9bidea\u5305\u62ec\uff1a<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<ul>\n<li>Delicious\u4e66\u7b7e\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u5316\u7248\uff082007\u5e74\u590f\uff09<\/li>\n<li>\u505a\u6700\u597d\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u89c6\u9891\u63a8\u8350\u5f15\u64ce\uff082008\u5e74\u6625\uff09<\/li>\n<li>\u77ed\u5730\u5740\u670d\u52a1140it.com\uff082009\u5e74\u6625\uff09<\/li>\n<li>\u5229\u7528\u4e2a\u4eba\u7b2c\u4e09\u65b9\u7684\u9875\u9762\u5feb\u901f\u5236\u4f5c\uff082\u5206\u949f\uff09\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2a\u4eba\u7f51\u9875UnHub.com\uff082009\u5e74\u6625\uff09<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u6211\u73b0\u5728\u5c06\u6240\u6709\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9bidea\u89c6\u4e3a\u6211\u521b\u4e1a\u65c5\u9014\u7684\u8b66\u62a5\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u542c\u5230\u4e86\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8b66\u62a5\u58f0\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u521b\u4e1a\u65c5\u9014\u5c06\u4f1a\u53d6\u5f97\u5feb\u901f\u6210\u957f\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u9762\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2aidea\u90fd\u662f\u4e0e\u6211\u4eec\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u201c\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u7ec4\u7ec7\u672c\u5730\u4fe1\u606f\u7684Yipit\u201d\u4e0d\u76f8\u5e72\uff0c\u4e25\u91cd\u5e72\u6270\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u7cbe\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8bf1\u60d1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u4e86\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b0\u7684idea\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5de8\u5927\u8bf1\u60d1\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6765\u770b\u770b\u8fd9\u5e45\u6781\u5177\u6d1e\u5bdf\u529b\u7684\u201cStartup Transition Curve\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3489\" title=\"transition-curve-slide1\" src=\"http:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/transition-curve-slide1.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"678\" height=\"508\" data-pinit=\"registered\" srcset=\"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/transition-curve-slide1.jpeg 678w, https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/transition-curve-slide1-300x224.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 678px) 100vw, 678px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5f53\u4f60\u62e5\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee4\u4f60\u975e\u5e38\u5174\u594b\u7684idea\u65f6\uff0c\u6b64\u65f6\u4f60\u5904\u4e8e\u9636\u6bb5\u4e00\u201c\u65e0\u77e5\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u201d\uff08Uninformed optimism\uff09\u3002\u968f\u7740\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2aidea\u4e0a\u82b1\u8d39\u4e86\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e76\u4e14\u5f00\u59cb\u5b66\u4e60\u6240\u6709\u5173\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e2aidea\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u4e8b\u52a1\u65f6\uff0c\u4f60\u8fdb\u5165\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u72b6\u6001\u201c\u77e5\u60c5\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u201d\uff08Informed pessimism\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u5b83\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5c06\u4f60\u5e26\u5230\u201c\u5371\u673a\u201d\u9636\u6bb5\uff08Crisis of Meaning\uff09\uff0c\u6b64\u65f6\u4f60\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u9009\u62e9\uff1a\u6216\u8005\u8fdb\u5165\u201c\u5d29\u6e83\u201d\u9636\u6bb5\uff08Crash &amp; Burn\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u8fdb\u5165\u201c\u77e5\u60c5\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u201d\uff08Informed optimism\uff09\u9636\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5927\u591a\u6570\u521b\u4e1a\u4f01\u4e1a\u90fd\u5904\u4e8e\u201c\u77e5\u60c5\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u201d\uff08Informed pessimism\uff09\u9636\u6bb5\u5e76\u88ab\u5e26\u5165\u201c\u5371\u673a\u201d\u9636\u6bb5\uff08Crisis of Meaning\uff09\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u5404\u79cd\u5404\u6837\u65b0\u5947\u53e4\u602a\u4e0d\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u65b0idea\u4f1a\u4e0d\u65ad\u5192\u51fa\uff0c\u8b66\u62a5\u957f\u9e23\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b0\u7684idea\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u8bf1\u60d1\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u6b64\u65f6\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u201c\u65e0\u77e5\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u201d\uff08Uninformed optimism\uff09\u8fd9\u4e00\u4ee4\u4eba\u6fc0\u60c5\u6f8e\u6e43\u7684\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u6bd4\u4f60\u73b0\u5728\u7684idea\u8981\u597d\u5f88\u591a\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u6211\u5c31\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u5931\u8d25\u8fc7\u5f88\u591a\u6b21\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5371\u9669<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6210\u529f\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u5bb6\u5fc5\u5907\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u5c31\u662f\u8981\u5c06\u4f60\u4ece\u201c\u77e5\u60c5\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u201d\uff08Informed pessimism\uff09\u8fd9\u4e00\u72b6\u6001\u8fdb\u5165\u5230\u201c\u77e5\u60c5\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u201d\uff08Informed optimism\uff09\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6bcf\u6b21\u8fdb\u5165\u5230\u201c\u77e5\u60c5\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u201d\uff08Informed pessimism\uff09\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u5c31\u6beb\u65e0\u8010\u5fc3\u7684\u88ab\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684idea\u5e26\u56de\u201c\u65e0\u77e5\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u201d\uff08Uninformed optimism\uff09\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5174\u594b\u70b9\uff0c\u4f60\u5c06\u6c38\u8fdc\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u7ed3\u675f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6b7b\u5faa\u73af\u3002\u4f60\u5fc5\u987b\u5bf9\u81ea\u5df1\u7684idea\u62e5\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u8010\u5fc3\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u8d8a\u8fc7\u90a3\u4e2a\u8f6c\u89d2\u8fdb\u800c\u8fdb\u5165\u201c\u77e5\u60c5\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u201d\uff08Informed optimism\uff09\u9636\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u73b0\u5728\u6211\u5df2\u7ecf\u80fd\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b0idea\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u4eec\u662f\u201c\u65e0\u77e5\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u201d\uff08Uninformed optimism\uff09idea\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u975e\u5e38\u7684\u4ee4\u4eba\u795e\u5f80\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4f60\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u4e0e\u5b83\u76f8\u5173\u8054\u7684\u6240\u6709\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u73b0\u5728\u5904\u4e8e\u201c\u77e5\u60c5\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u201d\uff08Informed pessimism\uff09\u8fd9\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u8981\u4e48\u5c06\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u8033\u6735\u5835\u4f4f\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u50cf\u5965\u5fb7\u4fee\u65af\u90a3\u6837\u5c06\u81ea\u5df1\u6346\u7ed1\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u4f60\u5f53\u4e0b\u7684idea\u3002\u4e0d\u8981\u88ab\u90a3\u4e9b\u6beb\u65e0\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u65b0\u5947idea\u7ed9\u8bf1\u60d1\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5728Chris Dixon\u8c08\u4f55\u65f6\u653e\u5f03\u4f60\u7684i&hellip;  <a href=\"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/?p=3488\" class=\"more-link\">more <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3489,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1405,5],"tags":[1053,1869,293,49,208,1830,1871,1870,372,1868],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3488"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3488"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3488\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3489"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3488"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3488"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inhaoxu.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3488"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}